Izimoto Ezintsha Zamandla: Kulindeleke ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha ezisebenza ngamandla emhlabeni wonke ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuthi kudlule amayunithi ayizigidi eziyi-17, okuwukukhuphuka okungaphezu kwama-20% unyaka nonyaka. Phakathi kwabo, imakethe yaseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi iqhubeke nokuthatha ngaphezu kwe-50% yesabelo somhlaba wonke, ukuthengisa kuzodlula amayunithi ayizigidi ezingu-10.5 (ngaphandle kokuthumela ngaphandle). Ukufaniswa, ukuthunyelwa kwamandla omhlaba ka-2024 kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngaphezu kwama-20%.
Ukugcinwa kwamandla: kulindeleke ukuthi ngo-2024 amandla amasha e-photovoltaic afakwe emhlabeni wonke angama-508GW, ukukhula konyaka ngonyaka ngama-22%. Uma kucatshangelwa isidingo sokugcinwa kwamandla kuhlotshaniswa kahle ne-photovoltaic, izinga lokusatshalaliswa nokugcinwa kanye nokusabalalisa kanye nesikhathi sokugcina, ukuthunyelwa kokugcinwa kwamandla emhlabeni wonke ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngaphezu kwama-40%.
Izici zokuguquguquka kwebhethri lamandla amasha: umnotho nokunikezwa, ukuguquguquka kwempahla, ukushintsha kwesizini esezingeni eliphezulu, izinqubomgomo zaphesheya kwezilwandle, izinguquko ezintsha zobuchwepheshe zizothinta isidingo samabhethri wamandla amasha.
Ukuthunyelwa kokugcinwa kwamandla emhlabeni jikelele kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngaphezu kwama-40% ngo-2024
Ngokusho kwe-International Energy Agency (IEA), ukufakwa okusha kwe-PV emhlabeni wonke kufinyelele ku-420GW ngo-2023, kwenyuke ngama-85% unyaka nonyaka. Ukufakwa kwe-PV entsha yomhlaba wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kube ngu-508GW ngo-2024, okukhuphuke ngo-22% unyaka nonyaka. Ngokucabanga ukuthi isidingo sokugcinwa kwamandla = PV * izinga lokusabalalisa * ubude besikhathi sokusabalalisa, isidingo sokugcinwa kwamandla kulindeleke ukuthi sihlotshaniswe kahle nokufakwa kwe-PV kwamanye amazwe noma izifunda ngo-2024. Ngokusho kwedatha ye-InfoLink, ngo-2023, indawo yokugcina amandla emhlabeni wonke. ukuthunyelwa okuyisisekelo kufinyelele ku-196.7 GWh, lapho ukugcinwa kwamandla amakhulu nezimboni nezentengiso, isitoreji sasendlini, ngokulandelana, 168.5 GWh kanye no-28.1 GWh, ikota yesine ibonise isimo sesizini esiphezulu, ukukhula kwe-ringgit ngo-1.3 kuphela%. Ngokusho kwedatha ye-EVTank, ngo-2023,ibhethri yokugcina amandla emhlabeni jikeleleukuthunyelwa kufinyelele ku-224.2GWh, okuwukunyuka ngo-40.7% unyaka nonyaka, lapho u-203.8GWh wokuthunyelwa kwamabhethri okugcina amandla yizinkampani zaseShayina, okubalelwa ku-90.9% wokuthunyelwa kwamabhethri okugcina amandla emhlabeni jikelele. Kulindeleke ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kokugcinwa kwamandla emhlabeni jikelele kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngaphezu kwama-40% ngo-2024.
Iyaphela:
Ngokuvamile, mayelanaibhethri lamandla amashafuna ukushintshashintsha kwezinto uma sikhuluma ngobubanzi, kunezici ezinhlanu: ukunikezwa komkhiqizo noma imodeli ukudala isidingo, umnotho ukuthuthukisa ukuzimisela kokufaka; ukukhuphula ukuguquguquka komphumela we-bullwhip we-inventory; ukungafani kwethemu, imboni ifuna izinkathi ezingabizi kakhulu; inqubomgomo yaphesheya lokhu kuyisici esingalawuleki; umthelela wesidingo sobuchwepheshe obusha.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-06-2024